Monday, October 09, 2006

Gold jumped 1.5 percent on Monday as safe-haven buying intensified after North Korea said it had conducted its first nuclear test, but pared gains later.

However, higher oil prices underpinned the market and analysts said gold had potential to advance in the near term.

"Oil prices have firmed a little bit and also we saw the nuclear test from North Korea overnight," John Reade, precious metals analyst at UBS Investment Bank, said.

"I think there are lots of reasons why you want to be long in gold at the moment ... also because we continue to see extremely strong physical demand," he said, referring to long positions held by investors who expected prices to rise.

Spot gold hit a high for the day of $580.75 an ounce in early European trade and was quoted at $576.60/577.60 by 1217 GMT, against $572.40/573.40 in New York late on Friday.

Gold, which is seen as a safe asset in difficult times, reacted on news that North Korea conducted an underground nuclear test on Monday.

The White House branded the act as "provocative" and said it expected the U.N. Security Council to take immediate action.

"Everybody is a bit tense. When the U.S. wakes up, you may see rhetoric from them. Gold may even rise to $585," a dealer in Singapore said.

NORTH KOREAN IMPACT

News of the North Korean test, as well as plans by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to cut production, helped crude oil jump about one percent to above $60 a barrel.

Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation and has tracked oil in recent weeks. It dropped to its lowest in more than three months at $559.40 on October 4, when crude oil tumbled to an eight-month low.

"Today's outlook for gold doesn't seem as bad as in the last days... Negative bias could only come from the dollar but technically there does not seem to be a lot of upside potential for the latter," Dresdner Kleinwort said in a daily note.

The euro firmed slightly against the dollar after hitting a 2-1/2-month low on Friday after U.S. non-farm payrolls data showed upward revisions to past employment growth and left the labor market looking tighter than previously thought.

Other precious metals tracked gold. Silver rose to $11.27/11.34 an ounce from $11.08/11.15 late in New York.

Platinum gained to $1,082/1,087 an ounce from $1,073/1,078 in New York. Palladium rose to $300/304 an ounce from $296/300 late in the U.S. market.

Norilsk Nickel , the world's largest nickel and palladium miner, raised its forecast for 2006 platinum and palladium output due to improved recovery of metal from its ores.