Gold-Rush-2009

2009-05-14T06:49:00.000-07:00

Gold prices hit $930.90 an ounce on Wednesday, the highest since April 1.

Gold for June delivery in New York traded at $924.80.

2008-10-27T12:28:00.000-07:00

Gold Continues To Lanquish Amid Volatility

Gold futures declined 7.1% last week and are down 16.6% in October. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, meanwhile, fell 5.3% for the week and 22.8% in October.

Gold was volatile throughout the third quarter ranging from $741.30 to $977.70 an ounce.

Hedge fund and instituational selling, as well as strength in the US Dollar have contributed to the recent declines in gold prices.

"The fact that gold did not head higher during the current leg of the crisis seems to reflect a combination of the rise in the dollar, deleveraging of commodity positions, sales to meet margin calls, and the unwinding of the long gold, short dollar trade," ... Natalie Dempster, an analyst at the World Gold Council.

2008-10-19T18:00:00.000-07:00

According to the World Gold Council investors spent $2.8 billion on gold investments in the third quarter.

The World Gold Council reports that 145 tons of gold were bought on stock exchanges in the three months to September. Gold held by investors on the exchanges hit 1,000 tons for the first time since the metal was introduced on the US bourse in 2004.

2008-10-16T11:38:00.001-07:00

OPEC devising gold backed currency?

The recent dramatic drop in oil prices has prompted OPEC to move up the date of its meeting from November 18 to October 24. The meeting is set to focus on "the global financial crisis, the world economic situation and the impacts on the oil market".

OPEC has been feeling the impact and ramifications of fluctuations in the US Dollar. Oil prices are quoted and traded in US Dollars and therefore the inflation/deflation cycles have created discontent among many OPEC members.

Could this be the correct time for OPEC nations to pursue oil being priced in a gold backed currency?

2008-10-13T03:58:00.000-07:00

Dollar Correction Leading To Stronger Gold Prices

In European trading on Monday the US Dollar is trading down and boosting gold prices.

Spot gold was at $862.25/865.25 an ounce at 0911 GMT, up from $847.40 in late New York trade on Friday.

Money continues to flow into gold ETFs...

The SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed ETF, announced on Friday that its holdings rose to a record 770.64 tonnes last week.

The SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE GLD) has expanded its holdings by 26% since the bankruptcy announcement by Lehman Brothers.

2008-10-11T18:27:00.000-07:00

Gold prices retreated from early gains to post a loss on Friday. Gold for December delivery fell $27.50 (3.1 percent) to settle at $859 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gold hit an intra day low of $829.

Shares of StreetTracks Gold ETF (NYSE GLD) once again failed to close above the 200 day moving average of $88.30 after hitting an intra day high of $90.72.

2008-10-10T01:31:00.000-07:00

Gold rallies amid global stock market meltdown.

Gold is currently up $41.90 at $928.40

A close above $925 would be a bullish signal for gold prices.

2008-09-30T18:53:00.000-07:00

The AMEX gold bug index has been trending lower after bumping up against the 50 day moving average last week.

2008-09-29T06:23:00.000-07:00

Analysts Predict Gold To Surge Toward $1000

"I would be surprised given the scale of the economic crisis if gold doesn't scale above $1,000," he said ahead of the London Bullion Market Association annual conference in the ancient Japanese capital of Kyoto.

"In terms of core trading range for us, I have to say that gold going up towards the $1,000-level is not an impossibility at all," Paul Walker, CEO of GFMS.

link

2008-09-24T14:05:00.000-07:00

Barrick Gold Corp. Chairman Peter Munk forecasts "Large Scale Buying Of Gold".......

``That impact on holders of U.S. dollars in China or Russia or Abu Dhabi or Kuwait is that they're going to say, `What is that going to mean for the U.S. dollar, and what alternative are we going to have?''' Munk said in an interview in New York. ``So gold is going to have very powerful support.'' Munk, 80, founded Toronto-based Barrick in 1983 and made it the world's largest gold producer.

2008-09-23T14:52:00.000-07:00

Spot gold was at trading $889.75/892.75 an ounce (1905 GMT), down 1.2 percent from gold's Monday close of $900.20.

U.S. gold futures for December delivery settled down $17.80, or 2 percent, at $891.20 an ounce on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.

2008-09-22T15:40:00.001-07:00

Investors flock to Gold ETFs

Investment in the SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest exchange- traded fund backed by bullion, jumped 11% last week to 679.6 metric tons as volatility surged in financial markets.

2008-09-22T15:32:00.000-07:00

2008-09-20T13:00:00.000-07:00

Mark O'Byrne, managing director of brokerage Gold and Silver Investments Ltd. in Dublin.....``By the end of the year, I think we'll be looking at $1,000 an ounce, because of the extent of the physical demand,'' ........``We can't keep up with the funds ringing. We've never had demand like it.''

Comex raised margin payments on gold and silver futures by as much as 47 percent after price swings accelerated.

The margin rate for Comex members advances to $5,500 a gold contract today from $3,750, the exchange said in an e-mailed statement late yesterday. The new rate for non-members is $7,425, compared with $5,063. One contract represents 100 ounces.

For silver futures, members will pay a margin rate of $6,000, compared with $5,000 previously. Non-members will pay $8,100, up from $6,750. One silver contract represents 5,000 ounces.

2008-09-15T15:58:00.000-07:00

LONDON (AFP) — Gold prices rebounded Monday as the precious metal won support amid ongoing uncertainty stemming from the collapse of US investment bank Lehman Brothers, dealers said.

On the London Bullion Market, the price of gold rose to 785.70 dollars per ounce, from 750.25 late on Friday.

In contrast, crude oil prices slumped Monday as investors feared that slower economic growth would dampen future energy demand.

Gold, which is used in jewellery, dentistry and electronics, is widely regarded as a safe store of value amid economic gloom.

2008-09-14T15:29:00.000-07:00

Note the breakout point for gold during October 2007.

Gold prices moved higher after testing the $750 level last week, indicating strong technical support at this level.

2008-09-14T10:08:00.000-07:00

Gold moved higher on Friday as the US Dollar declined on weak retail sales data.

U.S. gold futures for December delivery settled up $19.00, or 2.6 percent, at $764.50 an ounce on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.

2008-09-14T10:05:00.000-07:00

Gold bounces off support at $750 amid a weaker US Dollar and rising oil prices.

2008-08-21T13:22:00.000-07:00

U.S. Mint Suspends Gold Coin Sales

The U.S. Mint is temporarily suspending sales of American Eagle bullion coins citing increased demand and lack of supply.

"Due to the unprecedented demand for American Eagle gold one-ounce bullion coins, our inventories have been depleted. We are therefore temporarily suspending all sales of these coins," the U.S. Mint announced in a memorandum to authorized dealers.

Details......

2008-08-19T09:51:00.000-07:00

In Singapore trading gold for immediate delivery dropped $11.83, or 1.5 percent, to $788.24 an ounce before trading at $789.54. The metal dropped to as low as $772.98 Aug. 15, the lowest since October. Silver for immediate delivery tumbled 2.9 percent to $12.685 an ounce.

2008-08-18T04:18:00.000-07:00

Kitco anticipates delays in bullion products.

Kitco has posted this notice on their website:

IMPORTANT NEW NOTICE: Due to market volatility and higher demand in the entire industry, we are anticipating delays in supply of all bullion products. Please note that you can continue to place orders and prices will be guaranteed; however, cancellation fees will still be applicable regardless of the length of the delay. Consequently once inventory is received there may also be delays in processing and shipping by our vaults.

2008-08-17T01:36:00.000-07:00

2008-04-20T02:03:00.000-07:00

Zachary Oxman, senior trader of Wisdom Financial in Newport, California believes gold "could drop below $900 before bouncing back to above the $960 to 970 an ounce area in the second half of the year."

2008-04-08T01:09:00.000-07:00

(CEP News) London – In an extraordinary development, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced late on Monday that it was musing over proposals to sell some of its gold reserves as part of radical plans to bolster its troubled finances.

IMF reportedly hopes to sell 12.97 million ounces of gold, nearly 12% of its total reserves to raise approximately $6 billion. However, the sale is dependent on approval by the U.S. Congress.

The IMF currently holds 103.4 million ounces of gold thought to be worth $95.2 billion at current market rates according to published sources. Overnight, gold futures for June delivery rose $13.64 to $926.79 an ounce in New York trading prior to the IMF announcement.

2008-03-26T14:31:00.000-07:00

Gold prices continued to rally on Wednesday.

Gold remains on the borderline of being technically oversold with a Williams%R reading of -61.66

2008-03-21T03:36:00.000-07:00

Gold is trading higher in Tokyo on Friday........
Gold for immediate delivery gained $9.71, or 1.1 percent, to $920.24 an ounce as of 4:26 p.m. in Tokyo.

NYMEX trading is closed for the Good Friday holiday.

2008-03-20T15:33:00.000-07:00

Gold continues to be pressured by margin related selling and profit booking prior to the end of the quarter. Gold is down more than 8% over the past 4 trading sessions. A bounce off the support level of $900 could provide a strong buy signal.

2008-03-15T09:44:00.000-07:00

``Gold's assault on $1,000 is happening for a good reason,'' ....``Gold is not only an inflation hedge, it's a catastrophe hedge. Gold is becoming increasingly important as the credit crunch continues to spiral out of control.''........Gold Analyst James Turk

2008-03-14T11:13:00.000-07:00

Shares of Newmont Mining have broken above the 50 day moving average of $51.84

2008-03-13T08:11:00.000-07:00

Continued weakness in the US Dollar is driving gold prices to record levels.

2007-11-26T06:11:00.001-08:00

The AMEX Gold Bugs Index recently tested the 50 day moving average before moving higher to close the week at 429.88

2007-11-11T16:39:00.001-08:00

The AMEX Gold Bug Index closed the week at 441.92

2007-11-05T06:27:00.001-08:00

The AMEX Gold Bug Index is rallying in response to gold topping the $800 level.

2007-10-29T16:57:00.000-07:00

Gold continues to rally amid a weak U.S. Dollar and rising oil prices.

December gold closed at $792.60 an ounce in trading on Monday.

2007-10-27T07:58:00.001-07:00

The AMEX Gold Bug Index is once again on the verge of a breakout above the 420 level.

2007-10-21T15:06:00.001-07:00

The AMEX Gold Bug Index successfully tested support at the 400 level.

2007-10-18T17:13:00.000-07:00

Gold extended its gains on Thursday amid continued weakness in the U.S. Dollar.

Gold futures for December jumped $6.40 to settle at $768.70 an ounce,

Silver futures rose 5.3 cents to $13.803 an ounce.

2007-10-15T16:51:00.001-07:00

In NYMEX trading on Monday, gold for December delivery gained $8.40 to finish at $762.20 an ounce. This is the highest close for a front-month contract in 28 years.

2007-10-14T16:49:00.000-07:00

The U.S. Mint has once again halted the sale of Gold Coins due to rapidly increasing Gold Prices.

The U.S. Mint first suspended sales on Sept 13 by halting sales of “W” uncirculated gold American Eagles and bulk sales of four-coin gold American Eagle proof sets. These have yet to be re-offered.

This week the Mint once again suspended sales of certain coins when all Platinum “W” uncirculated American Eagle were pulled from the market.

A message on the U.S. Mint website read: “Due to the increasing market value of platinum, the American Eagle Platinum Uncirculated Coins are temporarily unavailable while pricing for this option can be adjusted; therefore, no orders can be taken at this time.” The OLD Price was : $1,489.95

On October 9th sales of American Buffalo Gold Proofs were suspended.

Statement from U.S. Mint website: "Due to the increasing market value of gold, the American Buffalo Gold Proof One Ounce Coin is temporarily unavailable while pricing for this option can be adjusted; therefore, no orders can be taken at this time.” The OLD price for the Proof Gold Buffalo’s was : $825.95. Gold bullion was trading in the $730s per ounce when Buffalo coin sales were suspended.

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2007-10-07T16:12:00.001-07:00

Gold prices would have to hit $2,119.84 an ounce to match the historic high of $850 set in 1980 on an inflation adjusted basis.

2007-09-28T11:08:00.000-07:00

Gold prices topped $750 an ounce on Friday, the highest level since 1980.

Gold continues to rally as investors seek refuge from inflation and an ever-weakening U.S. Dollar. The USD declined for the seventh straight session, hitting another new low against the Euro.

December silver is up 32 cents to $13.965 an ounce.

2007-09-24T20:27:00.000-07:00

Goldman Sachs announced that it has raised the 3 month gold price target to $775, up from $700 an ounce. Goldman Sachs cited inflation concerns and continued weakness in the U.S. Dollar as the primary catalysts for gold prices.

Gold for December delivery closed up 40 cents to $739.30 on Monday.

2007-09-23T11:58:00.000-07:00

Analysts Predict Long Term Bull Market For Gold

Gold prices hit a 28 year high last week and many industry analysts and insiders are predicting the price appreciation to continue.

Ian Smith of Newcrest Mining states.......

"Supply of gold mining is going down, exploration and discoveries is going down and demand is going up.

"The overall economic environment really suggests gold will be positive over the next few years at least."

Sahil Kapoor of Kotak Commodity Services.......“We feel inflationary pressure in the world economy has not reduced. It will pick up even further in the coming months and quarters as agricultural commodities become more expensive worldwide,”.......“Higher crude oil prices will infuse lot of multiplier effect on other component of total demand in the world pushing world inflation ahead”

2007-09-20T17:30:00.000-07:00

Investors continue to flock to gold as the U.S. Dollar hit a record low against the Euro.

Gold hit a 27 year high and is currently up 16% for the year.

2007-09-20T09:23:00.001-07:00

Gold broke above $730 on Thursday, the highest level in 26 years.

2007-09-18T17:28:00.000-07:00

Gold rallied to a 16 month high on Tuesday, fueled by reduced U.S. interest rates, higher oil prices, and a weaker dollar.

Gold is approaching the 26 year high set in May 2006 at $730 an ounce. A breakout above this level would be a very bullish signal and would indicate that gold prices are poised to head significantly higher.

The record price was set in January 1980 when gold traded at $850 an ounce.

2007-09-15T11:09:00.000-07:00

The U.S Mint announced that it is suspending the sale of some 2007 gold American Eagle coins due to the rising price of gold bullion.

Last week un-circulated American Eagles containing the "W" mint mark were pulled from sale. The U.S. Mint states that these coins will be repriced and returned to the market by September 27.

The one ounce coins were selling for $749.95. With gold prices topping out above $720 last week the U.S. Mint was forced to reprice the coins.

Bulk sales of four coin proof sets of gold American Eagles were also suspended. These sets usually sell at a discount to bulk dealers. The Mint plans to honor all confirmed orders by bulk dealers for the American Eagle sets.

2007-09-07T08:51:00.000-07:00

The Gold Bug index continues to rally on Friday, breaking above the 360 level.

2007-09-06T04:38:00.000-07:00

The Gold Bug index is now attempting to cross overhead resistance at both the 50 and 200 day moving averages.

2007-08-26T02:12:00.000-07:00

The AMEX Gold Bug index closed the week at 324.99, above the key level of 320 where support was broken on August 15.

2007-08-19T13:06:00.001-07:00

The AMEX Gold Bug Index closed down over 11% for the week, breaking below the bottom of it's range.

The next level of support is at the 200 day moving average at 264.40

2007-08-05T13:20:00.001-07:00

After failing to complete the breakout above 370, the AMEX Gold Bug index has retraced from the recent highs and is now testing support at the 200 day moving average of 336.

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2007-07-22T10:29:00.001-07:00

The AMEX Gold Bug Index is currently breaking above the overhead resistance level of 370. A further move above this level would indicate an extremely bullish breakout.

2007-07-15T15:40:00.000-07:00

The Gold Bug Index traded sideways for most of the week and finished at 356.82

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2007-07-10T15:24:00.001-07:00

Since breaking through resistance at the 340 level the AMEX Gold Bugs Index has put together an impressive rally and appears poised to test the highs set in mid April.

2007-06-24T07:41:00.000-07:00

The Gold Bug index is attempting to break through resistance at the 340 level. The current 50 day moving average stands at $338.

Higher oil prices and geopolitical events should serve as catalysts for higher gold prices in the coming week.

2007-06-17T13:30:00.000-07:00

Associated Press reports........Gold and other 17th-century artifacts that treasure salvagers say they recovered from a shipwrecked Spanish galleon off Key West were brought ashore this week. Some estimate that the findings could be worth more than $1 million.

A gold bar, eight gold chains and 11 ornate gold pieces were among the artifacts divers from Blue Water Ventures said they found earlier this week.

Duncan Mathewson, a marine archaeologist and partner in Blue Water Ventures, said the artifacts are from the Spanish galleon Santa Margarita, which sank during a storm in 1622.

The treasures were found in nearly 18 feet of water about 40 miles west of Key West, Mathewson said.

"We're following the road to the treasure," Mathewson said. "We're on the trail, right smack where we need to be."

An initial cache of treasure and artifacts from the galleon was discovered in 1980 by the late treasure-hunting pioneer Mel Fisher.

Blue Water Ventures has been searching for the remainder of the wreck for two years under a joint-venture agreement with Mel Fisher's Treasures, now headed by Fisher's son, Kim Fisher.

The artifacts and treasure were taken to Fisher's Key West headquarters Thursday for conservation. Mathewson estimates more than $150 million to $200 million worth of artifacts and treasure from the Santa Margarita remains to be recovered.

2007-06-10T13:01:00.001-07:00

After hitting resistance at the 50 day moving average, the Gold Bugs Index has retreated back to the 320 range. This level has previously held as support and could provide an entry point to traders looking to capitalize on the current range trading of the the gold index.

2007-05-31T13:15:00.001-07:00

The AMEX Gold Bug Index has rallied in recent days and appears poised for another leg up and a potential move back toward 360.

2007-05-27T13:47:00.000-07:00

The AMEX Gold Bug Index appears poised to test technical support at 310.

2007-05-20T16:44:00.000-07:00

Gold held technical support last week when June gold futures held Thursday's two-month low of $654.10, trading no lower than $656.40.

2007-05-02T04:36:00.000-07:00

World's largest gold producer posts first quarter loss...........

Barrick Gold Corp. reported its first quarterly loss in more than five years as the company incurred $557 million in costs to exit sales contracts at below-market prices. The first-quarter net loss was $159 million, or 18 cents a share, compared with net income of $224 million (29 cents a share) a year earlier, Toronto-based Barrick said today in a statement. Excluding the cost to exit the contracts, profit was $398 million (45 cent a share) topping analysts' estimates.

2007-04-15T07:49:00.000-07:00

Gold and other precious metals futures rallied Friday after the dollar hit two-year lows.

June gold rose $10.20 to finish at $689.90 a troy ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

May silver rose 23.5 cents to settle at $14.09 an ounce, July platinum rose $6.90 to $1,286.40 an ounce, and June palladium climbed $6.75 to $381.05 an ounce.

Gold has been drawing buying interest since spot metal broke through technical resistance around $666.

May silver hit $14.17 an ounce, its highest level since March 1.

2007-04-12T00:14:00.001-07:00

Gold Fields Ltd. on Wednesday said it has not been approached by any party wishing to make a bid for the company, following a runup in shares on rumors due to a media report.

Shares added 73 cents, or 3.8 percent, to $20.01 in midday trading on the New York Stock Exchange. The stock has traded between $15.85 and $26.94 in the past 52 weeks and is down about 11 percent in the same period.

2007-04-10T11:05:00.001-07:00

The U.S. dollar fell against other major currencies in European trading Tuesday as markets reopened following the long Easter weekend. Gold rose.

The euro traded at $1.3439, up from $1.3360.

Gold traded in London at $677.60, up from $671.90 Monday on the New York Mercantile Exchange. In Zurich, gold traded at $677.00, up from $673.05. Gold closed at $676.55 an ounce in Hong Kong, up $11.10 an ounce from Wednesday's close of $665.45.

2007-04-05T13:33:00.000-07:00

The one year chart of $GOLD (Gold Continuous Contract) shows the price of in a strong uptrend since testing support at 640.

As previously forecast gold is now toward the top of it's range and should be set to test a breakout toward 690.

2007-03-10T13:23:00.000-08:00

The one year chart of $GOLD (Gold Continuous Contract) shows the price of gold rebounded this past week after briefly trading below the 50 day moving average. Gold may be poised to rally back toward the high 600s as it attempts to fill the gap that was created during the sell-off of the past two weeks.

2007-03-03T15:52:00.000-08:00

The Amex Gold Bugs Index (HUI) closed below the 200 day moving average on Friday. The index now appears poised to test support at the 315 level.

It should also be noted that the Gold Bug Index has formed a double top at the 360 level after hitting resistance at the level in both December and February.

Amex Gold Bug Index Components

Newmont Mining	NEM	14.30%
Goldcorp Inc	GG	14.22%
Freep't Mcmoran Copper&gold'b'	FCX	9.54%
Golden Star Resources	GSS	6.42%
Kinross Gold	KGC	5.73%
Yamana Gold	AUY	5.71%
Eldorado Gold Corp	EGO	5.66%
Hecla Mining	HL	5.57%
Randgold Resources Ads	GOLD	4.98%
Gold Fields Ltd Adr	GFI	4.83%
Meridian Gold	MDG	4.77%
Iamgoldcorp	IAG	4.72%
Agnico Eagle Mines	AEM	4.71%
Coeur d'alene Mines	CDE	4.42%
Harmony Gold Mining Adr	HMY	4.41%

2007-02-22T09:28:00.000-08:00

China produced 240 tons of gold in 2006, an increase of 7.15 percent. The country plans to raise its gold production by 8 percent this year to 260 tons, according to the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC).

The value of China's gold output totaled $6.625 billion in 2006, rising 34 percent as the price of gold in the markets hit a record high.

2007-02-22T06:42:00.000-08:00

Barrick Gold Corp., the world's largest gold producer, said fourth-quarter profit more than doubled as prices climbed, and acquisitions and new mines boosted production.

Net income surged to $418 million, or 48 cents a share, from $175 million, or 32 cents, a year earlier, the Toronto-based company said today in a statement. Sales gained 74 percent to $1.35 billion.

Barrick overtook Newmont Mining Corp. as the biggest gold producer with its $10 billion acquisition of Placer Dome Inc. in March, adding mines in Nevada, Australia and Tanzania. Chief Executive Officer Gregory Wilkins increased output by 48 percent in the quarter.

``Barrick gives you an exposure to the bullion,'' Benoit Brillon, who manages C$6 billion ($5.1 billion) including Barrick at Natcan Investment Management Inc. in Montreal, said before the earnings announcement. ``The cost structure is a bit better at Barrick'' than Newmont, he said.

Shares of Barrick rose 92 cents to C$37.25 yesterday in Toronto Stock Exchange trading. The have risen 13 percent in the past year, compared with a 23 percent rally in gold and a 17 percent decline in Denver-based Newmont.

Gold output in the fourth quarter rose to 2.44 million ounces from 1.65 million ounces, Barrick said.

2007-02-20T08:32:00.001-08:00

Goldcorp Inc. said Monday it will post a US$170-million charge against its 2006 earnings and it has agreed to sell the Peak mine in Australia and the Amapari mine in Brazil to GPJ Ventures Ltd. for US$200 million in cash and US$100M in new Peak Gold common shares.

Proven and probable gold reserves at Amapari have been cut to 485,000 ounces as of Dec. 31, 2006, reflecting the exclusion of sulphide mineralization that was previously included.

That will result in the $170M impairment charge, Vancouver-based Goldcorp said in a release.

Goldcorp said it will end up with about 24 per cent of Peak Gold, the new name for GPJ Ventures.

"This transaction underscores our commitment to simplifying Goldcorp's asset portfolio," said CEO Kevin McArthur.

"It sharpens our geographic focus and provides capital that will help fund our growth opportunities and enhance our already-strong financial flexibility. Our ownership interest in Peak Gold will also allow us to participate financially in the future success of that exciting new growth platform."

2007-02-19T05:56:00.001-08:00

Gold hit fresh seven-month highs on Monday as the dollar remained weak and as strong Asian buying emerged, said analysts.

Spot gold was quoted at 670 usd an ounce, up from the 668.80 level seen at Friday's close. Earlier in today's session, gold struck 673.15 usd, a fresh seven-month high since last Wednesday.

'Gold has rallied back above 670 usd after strong buying was seen from Japan and in response to the bomb attacks in India,' said TheBullionDesk.com analyst James Moore.

The dollar has softened recently after some soft US data, increasing gold's appeal as an alternative investment.

2007-02-18T16:57:00.001-08:00

A source close to Polyus Gold denied on Sunday a newspaper report that Russia's top gold miner had approached Anglo American to buy a stake in Anglo Gold Ashanti.

"It's total nonsense," the source close to the company said.

The Sunday Times had said without citing sources that Polyus Gold had approached Anglo American about its stake in Anglo Gold Ashanti worth 2.25 billion pounds.

The newspaper said one option under consideration is for Anglo American, owner of 41 percent of Anglo Gold and the world's third largest miner, to take a minority stake in an enlarged company

Polyus Gold declined to comment.

No one at Anglo American could immediately be reached for comment. The company is due to report its annual results on Wednesday.

2007-02-16T13:50:00.000-08:00

Despite reduced supply and a fall in tonnage, demand for gold in 2006 reached a record US$65bn, the World Gold Council (WGC) said on Thursday.

The WGC said there was positive tonnage growth in the investment and industrial segments and double-digit dollar growth in the jewellery sector.

The record dollar values for overall demand and jewellery demand occurred despite a fall in supply, reducing the quantity of gold purchased.

The 2006 figures, compiled independently for the WGC by GFMS, reveal that identifiable investment demand in 2006 was 7% higher than in 2005 in tonnage terms, (637t vs 596t) and 45% higher in dollar terms, spurred by a 27% year on year tonnage increase in holdings of gold Exchange Traded Funds and similar products.

The fourth quarter was particularly strong with a 19% rise in tonnage terms and a 51% increase in dollar terms, the WGC noted.

Jewellery demand up 14%

Jewellery demand rose 14% in dollar terms in 2006 as a whole, but fell back by 16% in tonnage terms due to a volatile gold price in the first half of the year.

In the industrial sector, demand rose by 7% in tonnage terms and 45% in dollar terms to set a new annual record.

Industrial demand was at its highest ever at 458 tons, while jewellery sales reached an all time record in US$ terms at $44bn.

James Burton, chief executive of the World Gold Council said: "We are very encouraged by the record value of gold demand in 2006, showing that consumers are spending more on gold as jewellery and as an investment.

"However, we must recognise that although we have seen a steep rise in the dollar value of gold demand, there was also a decline in tonnage demand as extreme price volatility impacted consumers' jewellery purchases."

Price volatility

The first half of the year proved a difficult one for the gold jewellery market as high price volatility deterred consumers from buying. However, more stable prices towards the end of the year resulted in a very satisfactory level of demand.

"I am particularly pleased to see the continued growth in demand for gold in industry.

"Gold's unique properties make it ideal for use in the development of medical applications, pollution control, air bags, mobile telephones, laptop computers, and many other things that we consider indispensable in today's society."

Supply fell 13% in tonnage terms including a sharp reduction in net selling by central banks.

The WGC said 2007 began with brisk demand in most jewellery markets in January, while investor interest has also remained positive. Market research findings show that sentiment towards gold jewellery in key markets remains strong.

Prospects for both jewellery and investment demand in the first half of the year are good, although any return of excessive price volatility could hinder jewellery purchases, the WGC concluded.

2007-02-15T08:33:00.001-08:00

Gold jumped to a seven-month high of $671.85 an ounce on Wednesday as the dollar hit a six-week low against the euro after U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said inflation pressures were starting to ease.

Gold is often used as a hedge against fluctuations in the dollar, so moves inversely to it.

Long-term sentiment was bullish, but in the near future gold may fall before it rises again, analysts said.

"We remain positive on gold and forecast the metal will average $700/oz this year, based on a combination of gold market fundamentals -- primarily due to a much improved buying from the physical market and the material chance of lower net central bank sales -- and expectations of a weaker USD," John Reade, head of metals strategy at UBS, said in market report.

"But gold has moved too high, too quickly and, to be blunt, the wrong types of investors own it."

Short-term speculators who have bought gold are likely to sell it once the price rises in order to make a quick profot.

Technical signs on the charts also indicated a short-term pullback was likely en route to its July high of $677 and beyond.

"Into here we expect the market to struggle short term, but bigger picture, we remain steadfast bulls," analysts at Barclays Capital said.

2007-02-14T09:09:00.000-08:00

Gold and base metals producer Agnico-Eagle Mines Ltd. has agreed to buy junior miner Cumberland Resources Ltd. in a friendly deal worth about C$693 million ($592 million), boosting its gold production and reserves.

The deal will give Agnico-Eagle full ownership of Cumberland's Meadowbank gold project in Canada's Arctic territory of Nunavut. Now under construction, the project has proven and probable reserves of 2.9 million ounces of gold.

Initial production is expected in early 2010, with annual production forecast to average 400,000 ounces of gold in the first four years, and average 350,000 ounces per year over the life of the mine.

2007-02-12T07:44:00.000-08:00

Gold jumped above $668 an ounce today to its highest in seven months before losing some of the gains to weaker oil prices, but dealers were upbeat after the metal cleared a technical hurdle last week.

Spot gold hit an intraday high of $668,20 an ounce, its best since mid-July on short covering, before slipping to $665,75/666,50 an ounce in early trade, slightly lower than $666,50/667,20 late in New York. A public holiday in key player Japan also capped gains.

Gold rose about 1% in the US market on Friday after crude oil regained $60 a barrel for the first time since early January, triggering fund buying and short covering, and helping the metal breach $662 an ounce. Firm oil prices raise gold’s appeal as a hedge against inflation.

"I think post-G7, there’s speculation about where the yen would go, what that would possibly also mean, I suspect for gold, with Japanese fears of inflation," said Darren Heathcote of Investec Australia in Sydney.

"We might see more of a reaction tomorrow when TOCOM reopens. Certainly, gold is technically looking strong. I see no reason why, at this present moment, we wouldn’t want to head north again to test recent highs," he said.

Upside targets were pegged around $676 and $684 an ounce. Purchases from Japanese investors helped gold reach multi-year highs last year. Gold hit a 26-year high of $730 an ounce in mid-May.

2007-02-08T07:21:00.001-08:00

Gold bounced back and held above $650 ounce on Thursday with the help of firm oil, but the metal looked vulnerable after several failed attempts to breach key resistance around $660 an ounce.

Sales of gold scrap from Indonesia and Thailand dominated the physical sector in Southeast Asia, though dealers also noted some buying interest from India, the world's largest consumer.

In other precious metals, platinum fell after jumping to a 10-week high of $1,200 on Wednesday on speculative buying as well as purchases by Chinese jewellers ahead of the Lunar New Year later this month.

Spot gold rose to $652.70/653.40 an ounce from $651.70/652.40 an ounce late in the U.S. market on Wednesday, when it dropped more than $1 after crude oil reversed gains.

"The market remains choppy with gold unable to break out of recent ranges," Investec Australia said in a report.

"A concerted break above $660 may open the door for further buying, but in the absence of any break then gold looks vulnerable in the short term to move back below the $650 level," it said.

Gold rallied to a six-month high of around $661 an ounce last week but attempts to revisit the level were met by profit taking, in which jewellers and speculators cashed in their holdings.

Dealers said gold would have to crack $660 to reach new highs around $670 and $680, with the help of either a weaker dollar or firmer oil.

2007-02-07T09:32:00.001-08:00

Gold futures moved modestly higher Wednesday afternoon, holding their ground near $660 an ounce with the metal's safe-haven appeal in the face of rising energy costs underpinning prices.

The market sees the need "of maintaining $655 for as many days as possible ... before a move to higher ground is undertaken with confidence," said Jon Nadler, an investment-products analyst at bullion dealers Kitco.com, in e-mailed commentary.
Gold for April delivery was last up 80 cents at $660.30 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

In the previous session, the contract closed up $2.60 at $658.70 an ounce, after reaching a high of $663.70. It's up $6.70 from Friday's closing level, but the contract remains below Thursday's close of $663, which marked its loftiest in nearly six months.

2007-02-06T09:49:00.001-08:00

Gold rose above $650 an ounce on Tuesday on firm oil and a slightly weaker dollar, and analysts said it could jump if it holds onto recent gains a bit longer.

Gold broke the $650-an-ounce mark several times last week but profit-taking pushed down prices, which have risen about nine percent since Jan. 5 when it fell to a two-month low.

Spot gold was quoted at $652.40/653.15 an ounce by 1630 GMT, higher than $649.00/649.70 late in New York on Monday, when it rose about $2 on renewed buying interest from funds.

Earlier on Tuesday it hit a high of $658.40.

2007-02-05T12:03:00.000-08:00

Gold erased overnight gains on Monday, pressured by slightly weaker oil prices and a rise in the dollar, but dealers said the metal may strengthen after consolidating around current levels.

Spot gold rose to $649.65 an ounce before falling back to $647.10/647.85 by 1052 GMT, versus $647.00/647.70 in New York late on Friday, when it tumbled $10 because of a higher dollar.

"We had a good run last week but the fact that we didn't manage again to close a week above $650 is disappointing. We haven't seen any convincing move above that level and a lot of profit-taking is going on," said Michael Widmer, analyst at Calyon Corporate and Investment Bank.

"Overall, I would still expect the U.S. to lower interest rates. Then you are back to a weaker U.S. economy, a downward pressure on the dollar and more diversification out of assets that have closer links to economic growth into gold. And these factors should help gold."

2007-02-02T02:53:00.001-08:00

The International Monetary Fund should sell $US6.6 billion worth of gold and invest the proceeds in higher-yielding assets as part of a strategy to put its finances on a sound long-term footing, an expert panel has recommended.
The experts also advised that the IMF consider charging for the bilateral technical assistance it provides to countries, although they said any such charging scheme should be carefully designed to ensure poor countries continued to benefit from IMF help.

The panel, which included Alan Greenspan, former chairman of the US Federal Reserve, and Jean-Claude Trichet, president of the European Central Bank, estimated that the sale of 400 tonnes of gold would create an endowment fund that would earn the IMF $US195 million a year in additional revenues after inflation. The IMF holds 3217 tonnes of gold in total.

The panel recommend that the world's central banks be asked to reduce their planned gold sales - set out in an international accord - by an equivalent amount so as to offset the impact of the IMF sale on the world gold market.

The IMF faces serious long-term financial problems because its traditional source of revenue - profits on lending - has dried up as countries have paid back giant loans extended during financial crises.

The extra money is needed to help plug an estimated shortfall of $US400 million a year in the IMF's current income and expenses by 2010. The IMF is funding current activities in part by drawing on its reserves - not sustainable in the long run.

The panel recommends that the IMF put some of the quota money subscribed by IMF shareholder governments to work in capital markets.

This could involve very large sums, with the panel floating the idea of investing $US30 billion. It estimates that this could earn the IMF about $US300 million a year after paying interest on the quota money to the governments providing it.

It suggests loosening the rules governing how the IMF invests its existing $US9 billion reserves in an attempt to boost its income.

Andrew Crockett, president of JPMorgan Chase International and chairman of the panel, said it was no longer appropriate for the IMF to rely on profits from crisis lending to fund all its activities. Some outside experts say the IMF should deal with its financial problems by cutting staff costs rather than by raising revenues.

Agreement on IMF gold sales will need to be approved by an 85 per cent majority of the IMF's shareholders and by the US Congress.

2007-02-01T08:14:00.001-08:00

Gold futures climbed Thursday morning to their highest level since mid-August, ready to extend their winning streak to three sessions as recent strength in oil prices and a dip in the value of the dollar helped lift prices for the precious metals past $660 an ounce.
Gold for February delivery climbed $7 to stand at $659 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It rose as high as $661.50 earlier, an intraday level the contract hasn't seen since Aug. 11.
April gold was last up $8.40 to $666.30 after a high of $667, the contract's strongest intraday level since Aug. 9.
"As expected, gold has broken above key resistance at $650 and now appears to be making a beeline towards $700," said Peter Grandich, editor of the Grandich Letter.

2007-01-31T11:36:00.000-08:00

Gold futures climbed almost $8 an ounce Wednesday to close at their highest level in two months, finding support from strength in crude and some weakness in the U.S. dollar as traders awaited the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates.
Gold for February delivery climbed $7.80 to close at $652 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Prices only slightly pared gains by the close, after trading as high as $655.50 during the session -- the contract's highest intraday level since Dec. 1.
February gold finished last month at $638 so it ended January with a gain of 2.2%.
Most of the trading volume has now moved to the April contract, which closed up 1.2%, or $7.70, at $657.90 an ounce. It's ended 2.1% above its Dec. 29 close.

"The market continues to march higher and ... the focus remains [on] $675/$676," said Peter Spina, chief investment strategist at GoldSeek.com.

"With oil nearing $60 again and a vulnerable U.S. dollar, we could be nearing another explosive leg higher," he said. "Until that time arrives, gold will be well supported on pullbacks."

2007-01-30T08:18:00.001-08:00

A rise in oil prices helped lift gold on Tuesday, but dealers were cautious ahead of a Federal Reserve meeting that may determine the metal's price direction.

Spot gold rose as high as $645.80 an ounce and was quoted at $644.90/645.65 by 1516 GMT, against $642.60/643.60 late in New York on Monday.

"The market now appears to wait for the outcome of the two-day FOMC meeting starting today. Crude oil remains the dominant fundamental driver for the time being," Dresdner Kleinwort said, referring to the Federal Open Market Committee

Oil prices gained more than one percent, raising gold's allure as a hedge against oil-led inflation.

Investors await the release of key U.S. economic data, including fourth-quarter GDP figures and the Fed's rate decision on Wednesday, the Personal Consumption Expenditure inflation index on Thursday and January employment data on Friday.

"A low interest rate environment is very constructive for the market. So if the Fed is about to embark on rate cuts this year, that should be supportive for gold going forward," said Michael Lewis, head of commodities research at Deutsche Bank.

"Gold held relatively well in the face of the decline in the euro/dollar. There are some short-term risks to the downside, but by the end of the year, we are looking for gold to be trading higher," he added.

The dollar steadied before the meeting, the outcome of which investors will study for clues on whether the bank has become more optimistic on the economy after a raft of strong data.

Gold often moves in the opposite direction of the dollar.

GOLD'S OUTLOOK

Dealers remained confident about gold's long-term prospects.

"Despite a fairly neutral market balance, prospects for gold are buoyed by the combination of forecasts for dollar weakness and oil price strength," Barclays Capital said in a report.

It said fabrication gold demand had been stabilising after last year's sharp fall because of volatile and high prices, while bullion supply was unlikely to see major changes.

China, a major gold consumer, managed to maintain bullion consumption at around $240 tonnes last year as growing wealth offset higher prices, Albert Cheng, Far East managing director for the World Gold Council, said.

In other precious, silver rose to $13.31/13.38 an ounce from $13.14/13.21 late in New York.

2007-01-29T07:54:00.001-08:00

Gold declined in Europe today after gaining overnight as a steady dollar against the euro and weaker oil prices triggered profit taking.

Dealers said gold would remain confined in a broad range as investors awaited the outcome of a meeting of the Federal Reserve and US economic data due for release this week.

Spot gold hit an intraday high of $647,70 an ounce in Asia before falling to $642,40/643,40 in early trade, compared with $645,00/646,00 in New York late on Friday.

2007-01-28T13:38:00.000-08:00

Gold may gain for a fourth straight week as rising oil prices renewed the appeal of the precious metal as a hedge against inflation.

Twenty-two of the 42 traders, investors and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News from Sydney to Chicago on Jan. 25 and Jan. 26 advised buying gold, which rose 2.3 percent last week to $650.70 an ounce in New York. Twelve respondents said to sell, and eight were neutral.

Gold touched a five-month high last week as oil jumped 6.6 percent, its biggest advance in two months. Demand for StreetTracks Gold Trust, an exchange-traded fund that is linked to the price of gold, has risen 45 percent in the past year. The fund has 146 million shares outstanding, each representing a 10th of an ounce of gold.

``The upward pressure on gold prices seems likely to stay in place,'' said Chris Yoo, manager at Samsung Futures Inc.'s global commodities team in Seoul. ``Investment demand for gold is continuing to rise on gold ETFs and demand for oil is also rising as prices are viewed as low,'' said Yoo, who expects gold to rise as high as $660 this week.

Gold rose $14.60 on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange last week, touching $661.20, the highest since Aug. 10. The gain was expected by the majority of analysts surveyed on Jan. 18 and Jan. 19. Respondents have forecast prices accurately in 87 of 144 weeks, or 60 percent of the time.

Inflation Hedge

Some investors buy gold to preserve purchasing power in times of accelerating inflation. Gold futures surged to $873 in 1980, when a jump in the cost of oil led to a 13 percent annual rise in U.S. consumer prices.

``Gold demand will stay firm due to buying interest by investors for an inflation hedge,'' said Kazuhiko Saito, chief analyst of Interes Capital Management in Tokyo.

Newmont Mining Corp., the world's second-biggest gold producer, raised its estimate of production costs three times last year, partly because of high-priced energy. The company July said it would spend $290 to $310 to mine an ounce of gold in 2006, up from an April estimate of $280 to $295 and a February forecast of $283. In 2005, the average was $236.

``We will see cost increases'' this year, Chief Executive Officer Wayne Murdy said Jan. 26 at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. ``We have seen our energy costs go up dramatically over the last several years.''

2007-01-26T10:29:00.001-08:00

Precious metals hit their strongest levels of the year Thursday, although gold eventually gave back all of its gains due to a turn lower in crude oil and a rise in Treasury yields.

February gold settled a dime lower at $648.10 a troy ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange. March silver rose 21.7 cents to $13.49.

Fund buying occurred in both metals, reported Michael Gross, broker and futures analyst with Liberty Trading.

February gold peaked at $654.80 in screen trading, its most muscular levels since Dec. 1. March silver peaked at $13.60, its strongest levels since Dec. 15.

From there, however, gold slid back late in the day.

April platinum settled up $14.90 at $1,188 an ounce. March palladium gained $6.30 to $355.45 an ounce. April platinum posted an electronic high of $1,190.10 that was its strongest level since Nov. 30. March palladium got as high as $356.85 in screen trading, its strongest level since Sept. 7.

The most active March copper contract rose 5.30 cents to settle at $2.6545 per pound. Nearby January gained 5.10 cents to $2.6395.

2007-01-25T07:47:00.001-08:00

Gold Fields Ltd the world's fourth-biggest gold producer, launched a $1.2 billion share placement on Thursday and liquidated hedge positions, overshadowing a worse-than-expected slide in profit.

Analysts welcomed the capital raising as removing uncertainty and said a dip in the share price was expected due to speculative activity.

Shares in the South African firm fell 2.14 percent to 123.30 rand by 1205 GMT, underperforming a virtually flat gold mining index.

"All in all, this whole restructuring is positive and the market should welcome it," said fund manager Stephen Roelofse at Sanlam Investment Management in Cape Town.

Gold Fields' shares have been pressured as the market speculated about how the firm would raise funds to pay for its $2.5 billion purchase of South Africa's South Deep mine, which has the world's largest gold deposit.

"There's still this expecation of a share overhang coming from AngloGold, but by next Tuesday it will be out of the way for Gold Fields," Roelofse added, referring to the end of the book-building period.

Mining group Anglo American Plc has said it plans to dispose of its 41.8 percent stake in AngloGold Ashanti Ltd, possibly over the next two years, but has not given details.

Another analyst said Gold Fields' share placement would dilute shares in issue by around 12 percent, based on current share prices.

Speculators such as hedge funds were selling the shares, hoping to buy them back at a lower price as the large amount of shares go onto the market, he added.

"We're going to be left now, post the capital raising, with a very simple financial structure and also an optimal state of our balance sheet," Chief Executive Ian Cockerill told a presentation.

PROFIT FALLS

Gold Fields posted a 24 percent fall in second-quarter adjusted profit, worse than analysts' expectations, as amortisation and other costs rose and interest income fell.

Earnings per share for the three months to end December, excluding the effects of financial instruments and foreign debt, fell to 108 South African cents from 142 cents the previous quarter.

The firm had been expected to post an 8.3 percent fall in EPS to 130 cents, according to the average forecast of 10 analysts polled by Reuters. The forecasts ranged from 108 cents to 148 cents.

Gold Fields said quarterly output rose by 10,000 ounces to 1.015 million ounces while total cash costs increased 4.8 percent to 83,707 rand per kg.

Investors also welcomed news that Gold Fields spent $528 million to close out the 1 million ounce hedgebook of Western Areas, which it bought for its stake in South Deep.

Gold Fields and the bulk of its shareholders have long been opposed to the practice of hedging or selling gold in advance at fixed prices.

"There was a lot of uncertainty with the hedgebook. It's now behind them and they can concentrate on operating the mine," Roelofse said.

Pricing of the $1.2 billion private placement to institutional investors was due to be announced by January 30.

JP Morgan and Citigroup will act as joint global cooordinators and bookrunners for the capital raising. They have been granted a 15 percent over-allotment option.

Gold Fields will use the funds to pay back a loan taken when it bought the 50 percent stake in South Deep held by Canada's Barrick Gold Corp and acquired the other half owner, Western Areas.

2007-01-24T10:45:00.001-08:00

Gold slipped nearly one percent in late European business on Wednesday after climbing closer to a seven-week high, as a rise in the dollar and weaker oil prices prompted investors to take profits.

But sentiment remained positive and dealers said the metal had potential to breach a key level at $650 an ounce in the coming days, which might lift prices of other precious metals to new highs.

Platinum rose to its highest in two months before falling, silver eased after a six-week high and palladium matched Tuesday's peak of $348, its highest in four months.

"The sentiment in the market is still very positive and physical gold activity should be sound below $640. There is great potential to try again to break the $650 level," Frederic Panizzutti, precious metals analyst at MKS Finance, said.

"We are trading in a wide range of $630-$650. The market around these levels are pretty unstable but we believe that we are in a bull trend."

Spot gold hit a high of $647.10 an ounce before declining as low as $640.50. It was quoted at $641.30/642.30 by 1427 GMT, against $646.00/647.00 in New York late on Tuesday, when it rose touched $647.50 -- the highest since Dec 5.

2007-01-23T07:10:00.000-08:00

Gold climbed on Tuesday to trade below a three-week high, as a drop in the dollar and firmer oil prices encouraged investors to build fresh positions.

But the metal, which has climbed about six percent in the past three weeks, was expected to face technical resistance at around $645 an ounce, prompting some people to take profits.

Gold hit a high of $637.50 ounce before easing to $636.90/637.90 by 1113 GMT, up from $632.60/633.60 in New York late on Monday, when prices rose as high as $639.60 -- the highest since Jan. 3.

2007-01-22T07:59:00.000-08:00

old in Asia climbed to the highest since Jan. 3 on speculation that energy costs will remain high enough to spur demand for bullion as a hedge against inflation.

Gold usually moves in the same direction as oil, which rose for the second day today since trading under $50 a barrel on Jan. 18. Oil prices still have more than doubled from five years ago. Gold reached a 26-year high in May as oil rose to a record in July.

``Gold's strength is mainly related to the oil market,'' said Chris Kwon, broker at HanMag Refco Futures Corp. in Seoul.

Gold for immediate delivery rose as much as $1.20, or 0.2 percent, to $636.60 an ounce. It traded at $635.80 at 10:38 a.m. Mumbai time.

Some investors buy gold when energy costs climb. Gold futures reached a record $873 an ounce in January 1980 after oil costs doubled in a year, sparking a surge in the inflation rate.

2007-01-19T10:54:00.001-08:00

Gold futures climbed as much as 1% Friday and the benchmark contract was poised for a gain of more than $7 an ounce for the week as the precious metal took its cue from higher energy prices.

Gold for February delivery was last up $6.30 at $634.40 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It closed at $626.90 a week ago.

"The gold price is rallying higher with energy," said Peter Spina, chief investment strategist at GoldSeek.com.

Also, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke "brought some focus back to the deficit problems the United States is facing, and this is giving investors some renewed interest in the metal," he said.
From here, "gold still is expected to face some difficulty extending these gains much further under these circumstances, but there is some good support just below," he said.

"A range has developed here and it will take a breakdown in oil below $50 to bring gold back down to the low $600s or another rally in the U.S. dollar to keep gold from moving back to $650, where it faces some stiff resistance," he said.
On Thursday, gold prices fell back from a two-week high to close down more than $5, pressured by a sharp sell-off in the energy pits.

2007-01-18T07:29:00.000-08:00

Gold futures headed higher for a second session Thursday, topping the $635-an-ounce level for the first time in two weeks and supported by an upbeat outlook for the metal's price as well as news that India approved the launch of gold exchange-traded funds.

Gold for February delivery was last up $3.70 at $637 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange after reaching a high of $637.20, the contract's strongest intraday level since Jan. 3.

On Wednesday, the contract rallied more than $7 an ounce to close at a more than two-week high, finding support in firmer oil prices and a weak dollar.

"Hints that inflation is still a threat to the U.S. economy triggered a recovery in gold and silver yesterday, with technical buying adding additional momentum," said James Moore, an analyst at London-based TheBullionDesk.com, in a morning note.
Looking ahead, gold's price should head higher in coming months and aim for the $670s in the first half, precious-metals consultant GFMS said Thursday. The firm said, however, that gold might not be able to exceed its recent record above $725 unless the situation in the Middle East worsens.

2007-01-17T07:54:00.001-08:00

Gold fell in New York as a decline in energy costs reduced the appeal of the precious metal as a hedge against inflation.

Gold sometimes moves in tandem with crude-oil prices, which have dropped 17 percent this month. Gold is down 2 percent in January after climbing 23 percent in 2006.

``The crude keeps heading lower, and that's keeping pressure on the downside for gold,'' said Nick Ruggiero, a trader at Eagle Futures Inc. in New York.

Gold futures for February delivery declined $1, or 0.2 percent, to $625.90 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices rose 3.3 percent last week.

A futures contract is an obligation to buy or sell a commodity at a set price for delivery by a specific date.

Some investors buy gold when energy expenses climb. Gold reached a 26-year high of $732 an ounce in May. Oil climbed to a record $78.40 a barrel in July. Crude fell below $51 today after Saudi Arabia's oil minister rejected calls for further cuts in production.

2007-01-12T06:35:00.001-08:00

Gold prices gained on Friday on a recovery in oil prices and physical buying, but analysts said the market would struggle to break out of its current trading range in the near term.

But they remained positive about gold's outlook for the year.

"The market is looking pretty stable. It's moving in a range," said Costanza Jacazio, precious metals analyst at Barclays Capital in London.

""For the year, we would expect prices to benefit from a weakening of the dollar going towards the second half of the year as the macro-economic environment looks positive for gold."

On a fundamental basis, gold should also get support from the physical side, with fabrication demand seen stabilising, she said.

Spot gold was quoted at $613.80/614.80 an ounce by 1107 GMT after trading in a range of $609.80-$614.10, compared with $611.30/612.30 in New York late on Thursday.

Dealers said the market would be guided by movements in the currency and oil markets.

The euro steadied near earlier 1-1/2-month lows against the dollar, a day after the European Central Bank chief Jean-Claude Trichet signalled that the next rate rise would come in March rather than February.

Gold prices often fall with a rise in the dollar as the metal becomes expensive for holders of other currencies. The metal is also seen as a hedge against oil-led inflation.

Oil bounced back from a 19-month low below $52 a barrel after a 15 percent slide in the first 11 days of the year on weak demand for heating oil and fund selling.

"The market has formed a reasonable base around the $610 level and the should trade higher," a Singapore-based metals trader said.

Dealers said gold's ability to remain relatively stable despite a slump in oil price and a rise in the dollar might boost sentiment.

Investors are awaiting the December U.S. retail sales report at 1330 GMT for clues to the strength of the U.S. economy and the dollar outlook.

In other metals, platinum rose to $1,137/1,142 an ounce from $1,130/1,135 in New York, while silver was at $12.40/12.50, versus $12.32/12.39.

2007-01-11T10:07:00.001-08:00

Gold bounced on Thursday after losing around $2 in New York on a firm dollar and weaker oil prices, and dealers said it was likely to remain volatile in step with other commodities markets.

Spot gold was quoted at $612.60/613.60 per ounce at 1046 GMT, up from its New York close of $610.80/611.80, after trading in a range of $608.70-613.20.

The metal started 2007 around $640 and lost nearly $40 on dollar strength before bargain-hunters started picking it up.

"Physical and technical buying has again provided good support, with the recovery in the base metals improving gold's outlook," said James Moore, analyst at TheBullionDesk.com.

"However, the potent combination of oil weakness/dollar strength could still trigger long liquidation, pressuring gold back to the $585 region," he said.

Technical signals were mixed, chart-readers at Barclays Cpaital said, but there was more chance of a negative move than a positive one despite the recent corrective rally.

"Having failed to make headway above 614 the way is clear for another run at 600 and possibly an overshoot," it said in a note.

The dollar hit a 13-month high against the yen on Thursday, though it slipped from six-week highs against the euro as investors waited for clues from European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet on whether interest rates could rise further in February.

2007-01-10T09:03:00.000-08:00

Gold fell more than one percent in Europe on Wednesday as the dollar gained after the release of U.S. trade data, but the long-term outlook for higher prices remained intact, dealers said.

Spot gold dropped as low as $605.70 an ounce before rising to $608.80/609.50 by 1541 GMT, against $612.80/613.80 in New York late on Tuesday.

"The strength in the dollar in the last couple of days has prompted some long liquidation, but we would expect the dollar to weaken further again and act as a catalyst for gold to move back higher," said Frederic Panizzutti, analyst at MKS Finance.

"We are clearly positive for the first half of the year on expectations that the dollar has more downside potential on the back of easing monetary policy in the United States in a context of an extending trade deficit."

The dollar rose for the second day against a basket of major currencies after data showed the U.S. trade gap shrank in November to its narrowest in 16 months.

Gold often moves in the opposite direction to the dollar and is generally seen as a hedge against oil-led inflation.

Oil fell more then $1 back below $55 a barrel, threatening a repeat of the previous session's rout that took prices to a 19-month low.

"Much of the bullishness that fixates on gold derives from pent-up frustration at years of record low prices, and this is still working itself through and might further to go, but much depends on the dollar," said a report, prepared by London-based Virtual Metals for financial services provider Fortis.

OUTLOOK

Barclays Capital lifted its gold price forecast for 2007 on expectations of a significant depreciation in the dollar over the second half of the year and a recovery in oil prices.

It saw the average gold price at $620 in the first quarter of the current year and at $640, $650 and $670 in subsequent quarters.

But UBS Investment Bank lowered its prediction for gold to $625 in a month from now against its earlier forecast of $660 and to $650 in three months versus a previous prediction of $690.

"Gold's ability to hold above $600 over the past couple of days has improved the metals technical outlook, with the metal now in the process of establishing a base at $605," said James Moore, analyst at TheBullionDesk.com.

"Sentiment is likely to remain extremely volatile short term ... however longer-term sentiment remains firmly bullish with the current dip potentially offering investors an entry point."

Dealers said purchases by jewellers in Asia in the past two days helped gold stay above $600 but the metal would be under pressure because of a strong dollar.

In other metals, platinum jumped to a one-month high of $1,146 an ounce before easing to $1,138/1,144, compared with $1,123/1,128 in the U.S. market.

Silver fell to $12.27/12.34 from $12.45/12.52 an ounce, while palladium was down $1 at $325/330.

2007-01-09T07:45:00.000-08:00

Gold for February delivery was last up $1.80 at $611.20 an ounce. The contract closed higher in New York Mercantile Exchange action on Monday, after losing about 5% of its value last week, when it was swept up in a broad wave of selling in the commodities sector.

"The gold market took a hammering last week, primarily on U.S. fund selling, which appeared after the Asian and European hours of business on Friday," said Julian Phillips, an analyst at GoldForecaster.com.

"But in Asian and European hours the gold price started to bob back like a cork released under water," he said in e-mailed commentary.

"Demand from physical and investment sources will continue to do this while the funds are following the dollar and oil prices," he said, adding: "watch out for a change of direction by the funds."

2007-01-08T05:40:00.001-08:00

Gold moved higher on Monday after plunging to two-month lows in the previous session on a dollar rally, with the metal getting support from physical buyers and bargain hunters, analysts said.

But gold remained under pressure because of falling prices of base metals, they said.

"There is relatively strong support at $600 an ounce, but if you have got a sell-off of base metals across the board, then it would be relatively difficult for gold to be isolated from that," said Michael Widmer, metals analyst at Calyon Corporate and Investment Bank.

"Overall, I would still say that there are more indicators for a weakness in the dollar and that should support gold prices going forward. For the rest of this year, the macro-economic picture would be probably weaker rather than stronger," he said.

Spot gold was quoted at $608.40/609.40 an ounce by 1107 GMT, compared with $606.70/607.70 in New York on Friday, when it fell as low as $601.70 after the dollar surged.

Bullion investors were cautious because of a fall in base metals, with copper extending losses and putting other metals under pressure. [ID:nL08890893]

The dollar steadied near six-week peaks versus the euro, keeping gains made in the wake of surprisingly strong U.S. jobs and manufacturing data.

Gold often moves in the opposite direction of the dollar and is seen as a hedge against oil-led inflation.

"At these lower levels, physical demand is expected to provide some form of support, at least in front of the psychological level of $600 and again at $590," Standard Bank said in a daily report.

James Moore, metals analyst at TheBullionDesk.com, said Friday's sell-off in gold appeared a little excessive and lower prices might generate technical as well as physical buying.

But Wolfgang Wrzesniok-Rossbach, head of precious metals marketing at Germany's Heraeus, was not that positive.

"With many traders and investors being caught on the wrong foot in both markets, it seems however doubtful that they are able to provide the necessary short term support that is needed to stabilise the gold price right now," he said.

In other precious metals, silver was last quoted at $12.12/12.19 an ounce after falling to a new two-month low of $12.00, versus $12.18/12.25 in the U.S. market.

Platinum prices rose to $1,111/1,116 an ounce from $1,105/1,110, but palladium dropped to $326/331 an ounce from $331/336 in New York.